One wrinkle in the new map: GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne now live in the same district — though most of Miller-Meeks’ current territory is in a neighboring seat to the east. Both districts would be similarly competitive.
Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson remains in a swing seat in the state’s northeast corner. Republican Rep. Randy Feenstra has the safe GOP seat to the west of Hinson’s.
GOP state legislators rejected the nonpartisan agency’s first attempt at drawing the congressional map when they landed on a proposal that would likely doom Hinson by putting her home in a heavily Democratic seat but boosted Miller-Meeks with a deep red seat to the north. National Republicans were more pleased with the second attempt which brought more risk — three competitive seats — but a chance to control the entire delegation.
Iowa has been a rare recruiting bright spot for Democrats in a challenging election cycle. State Sen. Liz Mathis, a former TV anchor, is challenging Hinson, also a former TV anchor. And state Rep. Christina Bohannan has filed to take on Miller-Meeks. Republicans have a crowded field vying to take on Axne, including state Sen. Zach Nunn.
All three races will likely see hotly contested campaigns and millions of dollars in outside spending. Axne, Miller-Meeks and Hinson all had at least $1.4 million in their campaign accounts by the end of September.
Miller-Meeks, a doctor and veteran who made three unsuccessful runs for Congress before winning her seat in 2020 by just six votes, will have to decide soon whether she will run against Axne in the district containing her home, or the open seat, which includes much of her current turf.
In a statement after the map passed, Miller-Meeks reaffirmed that she will seek a second term next year but did not say where. “I will be evaluating the new districts to determine my next step, which I will be announcing shortly,” she said.
The filing deadline is March 18, 2022.